32nd Annual Demographic Workshop

The Post-Pandemic City

Overview

32nd Annual Demographic Workshop Flyer Image

Presented by the Southern California Association of Governments and the University of Southern California Sol Price School of Public Policy.

VIRTUAL WORKSHOPS HELD ON
June 8 and 15, 2021

Over the last year, the people of California have experienced extraordinary changes in all aspects of their life, from family formation and childcare to healthcare, workforce, travel to work, and housing accommodations.

This year we contemplate life in the post-pandemic city. A demographic check-up panel covered the latest trends in migration, fertility and vaccination, as well as the new 2020 census counts due for release. Additional panels focused on myths and realities of California’s mass exodus and declining mobility, and the new trends in workplace, travel and residential locations.

The program also included a keynote address and a series of expert-led roundtable discussions that build skills about topics discussed throughout the day.

For additional details about the event, please contact John Cho at choj@scag.ca.gov.

Supporting Partners

U.S. Census Bureau, California State Census Data Center, California Department of Finance, California Department of Housing and Community Development, USC Population Dynamics Research Group

Post

Day 2 Program

Theme: Post Pandemic City

Time

Agenda

1:30 p.m.

DAY 1 RECAP AND U.S. CENSUS BUREAU UPDATE

  • Dowell Myers, Ph.D., Professor and Director, Population Dynamics Research Group, University of Southern California
  • James Christy, Assistant Director for Field Operations, U.S. Census Bureau
    VIEW PRESENTATION

1:50 p.m.

KEYNOTE: “POST PANDEMIC CITY”

2:30 p.m.

POST PANDEMIC WORKFORCE, HOUSING & TRANSPORTATION

  • MODERATOR: Sarah Jepson, Director of Planning, SCAG
  • Randall Lewis, Executive Vice President and Principal, Lewis Operating Corporation
  • Dowell Myers, Ph.D., Professor and Director, Population Dynamics Research Group, University of Southern California
    VIEW PRESENTATION
  • Amber Schiada, Senior Vice President and Director of Research, Jones Lang LaSalle
    VIEW PRESENTATION

3:15 p.m.

BREAK

3:45 p.m.

ROUNDTABLE DISCUSSIONS
 

“OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES: L.A. PUBLIC SCHOOLS AND ENROLLMENT POST COVID”

  • Mary Prichard, Demographic Research and Planning Analyst II, Master Planning and Demographics Unit, Los Angeles Unified School District

“THE FISCAL IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON CALIFORNIA’S LOCAL GOVERNMENTS”

  • Seva Rodnyansky, Ph.D., Assistant Professor of Urban and Environmental Policy, Occidental College
  • Andre Comandon, Ph.D., Postdoctoral Scholar, Department of Urban Planning and Spatial Analyst, Sol Price School of Public Policy, University of Southern California
    VIEW PRESENTATION

“SCAG’S LATEST PLANNING TOOLS: RDP, ADUs, HELPR, AND MORE”

  • Kevin Kane, Senior Regional Planner, SCAG
  • Tom Vo, Senior Regional Planner, SCAG


Videos


Speaker Bios

Tiffany Chu

Senior Vice President, Remix at Via

Tiffany ChuTiffany Chu is a designer, planner, and the former CEO & Co-founder of Remix (remix.com), and now SVP at Via. She has been named in Forbes’ 30 Under 30, LinkedIn’s Next Wave of Leaders Under 35, Curbed’s Young Guns, and featured at SXSW, Helsinki Design Week, the New York Times Cities for Tomorrow Conference and more.

Remix is a collaborative software platform for transportation decision-making, and has been recognized as a 2020 World Economic Forum Tech Pioneer and BloombergNEF (New Energy Finance) Pioneer for furthering sustainability and equity in the field. Remix was acquired by Via in March 2021, the leading transportation technology company powering 500+ public mobility systems worldwide.

Tiffany served as Commissioner of the San Francisco Department of the Environment, and sits on the city’s Congestion Pricing Policy Advisory Committee. Previously, Tiffany was a Fellow at Code for America, the first UX hire at Zipcar and is an alum of Y Combinator. Tiffany has a background in architecture and urban planning from MIT.

James T. Christy

Assistant Director for Field Operations, U.S. Census Bureau

James T. ChristyJames T. Christy is the U.S. Census Bureau’s assistant director for Field Operations. The directorate employs approximately 11,000 people dur ing non- census years conducting surveys and will swell to more than 500,000 during the 2020 Census. Most are home-based interviewers located in every county of the nation, the District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico.

Previously, Christy served as the director of the Census Bureau’s Los Angeles Regional Office where he oversaw data collection activities in seven states – Alaska, California, Hawaii, Idaho, Nevada, Oregon, and Washington.

Christy began his career at Census Bureau headquarters in Suitland, MD., as a statistician evaluating education and expenditure data. He has also worked in the Denver and Kansas City regional offices on a var iety of Census Bureau activities. These included working on the 1990 and 2000 Censuses and the supervision of data collection for indicators such as the Consumer Price Index, the Monthly Unemployment Rate and Housing Starts.

He has served as chairman of the Greater Los Angeles Federal Execut ive Board and part icipates in numerous ac tivi ties related to public policy issues in Southern California.

Andre Comandon, Ph.D.

Postdoctoral Scholar, Department of Urban Planning and Spatial Analyst, Sol Price School of Public Policy, University of Southern California

Andre ComandonAndre Comandon is a Postdoctoral Scholar in the Department of Urban Planning and Spatial Analysis at the USC Price School of Public Policy. His research focuses on urban structure, segregation, migration, and residential mobility. He holds Master’s degrees in urban planning and political science from UCLA and a BA from the University of Oregon.

Sarah Jepson

Director of Planning, Southern California Association of Governments

Sarah JepsonSarah Jepson is Director of Planning at Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG), the nation’s largest Metropolitan Planning Organization. Her responsibilities include developing and updating the Regional Transportation Plan/Sustainable Communities Strategy, which is a long-range blueprint that identifies projects and strategies to address the region’s transportation challenges and improve system performance. Sarah also oversees the Regional Housing Needs Assessment, Federal Transportation Improvement Program and a comprehensive environmental analysis and compliance program.

Previously Sarah served as Manager of Active Transportation and Special Programs at SCAG, Sustainability Policy Manager for the Los Angeles County Metropolitan Transportation Authority and she worked on growth management planning for the King County Executive in Seattle, Washington.

Kevin Kane, Ph.D.

Program Manager, Demographics and Housing Policy, Southern California Association of Governments

Kevin KaneKevin Kane is the program manager for demographics and housing policy at the Southern California Association of Governments. His responsibilities include regional demographic forecasting, analysis, and regional housing policy development. Kevin also leads in-house research efforts at SCAG which include applied empirical analyses of travel demand management, telecommuting, e-commerce, development finance, and a range of data-intensive “Smart City” initiatives.

Kevin received his Ph.D. in Geography from Arizona State University’s School of Geographical Sciences & Urban Planning, and his Bachelor’s degree in Environmental Science, Economics, and Political Science from Northwestern University. He recently served as a postdoctoral fellow at UC-Irvine’s Metropolitan Futures Initiative where he led research efforts to combine “big data”, Geographic Information Science, and spatial statistical methods to understand long-term social, economic, and built environment changes in Southern California. Kevin is currently on the faculty of the University of Southern California’s Sol Price School of Public Policy where he teaches a course on big data applications in planning and development.

Randall Lewis

Executive Vice President and Principal, Lewis Operating Corporation

Randall LewisRandall Lewis oversees the sales and marketing operations of the Company. Randall received his B.A. from Claremont McKenna College. He is regarded as an industry leader in promoting the arts, education, healthy living and sustainable development initiatives. He has been President of the Inland Empire Arts Foundation, Secretary of the Los Angeles County Citizens Planning Council, director of the HomeBuilder’s Council, and national director of the National Association of HomeBuilders. Randall was named in the Los Angeles Times 2006 “West 100” list as one of the top 100 influential people in southern California. He has also received the California Business Properties Association Champion of the Industry Award and has been inducted into the California Building Industry Association Hall of Fame. Randall is a long time ULI member as well as a Governor of the ULI Foundation. Randall serves on several executive boards, including the USC School of Policy, Planning and Development, the UCLA School of Public Policy, Loma Linda University Medical Center’s Orthopedic and Rehabilitation Institute Advisory Council, Cal Poly Pomona’s National Development Council, and co-chairs the San Bernardino County Alliance for Education. He is recognized as an expert in the real estate industry and is frequently quoted in various newspapers, magazines and trade journals. Randall has over 30 years of experience in the real estate industry.

Dowell Myers, Ph.D.

Professor and Director, Population Dynamics Research Group, University of Southern California

Dowell MyersDowell Myers is a professor of policy, planning, and demography in the Sol Price School of Public Policy at USC. He directs the Population Dynamics Research Group and is a leading expert on California’s changing demographics that lead the nation’s. Dr. Myers has specialized in the demographics of housing demand and needs, with recent studies of “Peak Millennials” and future homeownership. He is also expert in trends of both immigration and children, the two groups who will form our future workforce that will replace retiring baby boomers. Dr. Myers holds his PhD from MIT, a Master of City Planning from UC-Berkeley, and a BA in anthropology from Columbia University. Many of his publications are available at https://sites.usc.edu/popdynamics/.

Mary Prichard

Demographic Research and Planning Analyst II, Master Planning and Demographics Unit, Los Angeles Unified School District

Mary PrichardMs. Prichard currently serves as a Demographic Research and Planning Analyst II for the Master Planning and Demographics Unit of the Los Angeles Unified School District.

The Unit’s function is to support the LAUSD’s mission through production of short and long range enrollment forecasts, management of the District’s annual school-by-school enrollment planning process (ECAST), management of the District’s annual facilities capacity (supply) and enrollment (demand) process (ECAR), applied K-12 demographic analyses, attendance boundary management, and production of official District mapping.

Ms. Prichard is involved in multiple aspects of the Unit’s operations including strategic planning, project development and management, data-driven analyses, data management, and quality control. She has extensive experience with enrollment forecasting, capacity planning, analytic techniques, database development and management, confidential data management protocols, process documentation, and working in a GIS environment.

Ms. Prichard served for a number of years in adjunct faculty positions for community colleges as well for CSULA. She served as President of the Los Angeles Geographical Society (LAGS) and as a Career Mentor for the Association of American Geographers (AAG).

Her research has been presented at professional conferences, including the Association of American Geographers and Population Association of America annual conferences.

She holds B.A. and M.A. degrees in Geography from Cal State Los Angeles.

Seva Rodnyansky, Ph.D.

Assistant Professor of Urban and Environmental Policy, Occidental College

Seva RodnyanskySeva Rodnyansky is Assistant Professor of Urban and Environmental Policy at Occidental College. His research focuses on urban policy related to housing, transportation, residential mobility and neighborhood change. He holds a PhD in Urban Planning and Development from the USC Sol Price School of Public Policy and a BA from Northwestern University.

Amber Schiada

Senior Vice President and Director of Research, Jones Lang LaSalle

Amber SchiadaAmber Schiada is a Senior Vice President and Director of Research for JLL’s Southwest Region, leading a team of twelve analysts in six markets. With more than 13 years of real estate experience, Amber specializes in real estate economics, industry trends and real estate forecasting.

In addition, she co-leads all research initiatives for JLL’s U.S. High-Tech Practice Group and has extensive experience analyzing innovative companies, venture capital trends, high-tech labor market trends, and the impact on real estate markets across the country.

Amber regularly presents her insights on the market at industry events for organizations including ULI, NAIOP, and CoreNet Global, and is often cited in national media, including the Wall Street Journal, CNBC, GlobeSt., as well as local publications in California.

Tom Vo

Senior Regional Planner, Southern California Association of Governments

Tom Vo is a Senior Regional Planner at the Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG). Tom works in the Research and Analysis Department where he applies his research, spatial, analytical skills on diverse topics related to transportation and land use planning to promote sustainability as well as equity for the southern Californians; to name a few, these topics are job accessibility, open space accessibility, vehicle-mile-traveled/time travel reductions, urban runoff pollutant, affordable housing, public transportation accessibility, General Plan update, and the current COVID-19 pandemic.

Post

Day 1 Program

Theme: Changing California Demographics

Time

Agenda

1:30 p.m.

INTRODUCTIONS

  • Dana Goldman, Interim Dean and Professor, Sol Price School of Public Policy, University of Southern California
  • Kome Ajise, Executive Director, SCAG
  • Hon. Clint Lorimore, President, SCAG

1:45 p.m.

DEMOGRAPHIC CHECK-UP

  • MODERATOR and PRESENTER: Beth Jarosz, Senior Research Associate, U.S. Programs, Population Reference Bureau
    VIEW PRESENTATION
  • Walter Schwarm, Ph.D., Chief, Demographic Research Unit, California Department of Finance
    VIEW PRESENTATION
  • Dowell Myers, Ph.D., Professor and Director, Population Dynamics Research Group, University of Southern California
    VIEW PRESENTATION

2:30 p.m.

UNEQUAL IMPACTS OF COVID-19

  • MODERATOR: Jennifer B. Unger, Ph.D., Professor of Preventive Medicine, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California
  • Neeraj Sood, Ph.D., Professor and Vice Dean for Research, Sol Price School of Public Policy, University of Southern California
    VIEW PRESENTATION
  • Abigail L. Horn, Ph.D., Research Associate, Biostatistics, Department of Preventive Medicine, University of Southern California
    VIEW PRESENTATION
  • JungHo Park, Ph.D., Research Professor, Department of Smart City, Chung-Ang University
    VIEW PRESENTATION

3:15 p.m.

BREAK

3:45 p.m.

ROUNDTABLE DISCUSSIONS
 

“CUSTOM SMALL AREA ESTIMATES – THE NOW AND THE FUTURE”

  • Fennis Reed, Research Specialist II, Demographic Research Unit, California Department of Finance
    VIEW PRESENTATION

“IMPLEMENTING AB 686 AFFIRMATIVELY FURTHERING FAIR HOUSING”

  • Marisa Prasse, Housing Policy Analyst, Land Use and Planning Unit, California Department of Housing and Community Development
    VIEW PRESENTATION

“CENSUS DATA PRODUCTS AND TOOLS – ACCESSING CENSUS DATA TO UNDERSTAND LOCAL COMMUNITIES”

  • Donald Bendz, Assistant Regional Census Manager, Community Partnership and Engagement Program, Los Angeles Region, U.S. Census Bureau
  • Luz M. Castillo, Data Dissemination Specialist, Customer Liaison & Marketing Services Office, Data Dissemination and Training Branch, U.S. Census Bureau
    VIEW PRESENTATION


Videos

Part 1 – Changing California Demographics​

Roundtable discussion on Custom Small Area Estimates

Roundtable discussion on Implementing AB 686

Roundtable discussion on Census Data Products and Tools


Speaker Bios

Donald Bendz

Assistant Regional Census Manager, Community Partnership and Engagement Program, Los Angeles Region, U.S. Census Bureau

Donald BendzDonald Bendz is the Assistant Regional Census Manager of the Community Partnership and Engagement Program for the 2020 Census. During the decennial count, Donald led a media relations team that conducted hundreds of news interviews with outlets across a seven-state region. A veteran of the television news industry, Donald brings close to 20 years of experience as an on-air journalist to the U.S. Census Bureau. He’s worked in major markets like Los Angeles and Miami, and has called many states across the country home. A Southern California native, Donald is a graduate of UCLA with a B.A. in sociology.

Luz M. Castillo

Data Dissemination Specialist, Customer Liaison & Marketing Services Office, Data Dissemination and Training Branch, U.S. Census Bureau

Luz CastilloLuz Castillo is currently serving as a Data Dissemination Specialist for the U.S. Census Bureau, where she plays a vital role in helping the public understand data. She works directly with individuals, organizations, government officials and others to increase their understanding and ability to access and work with data the Census Bureau collects. Luz has also worked to increase participation in Census surveys. She began her career during Census 2000 overseeing outreach efforts in southern California and managed the Community Partnership and Engagement Program (CPEP) for the 2020 Census.

Abigail L. Horn, Ph.D.

Research Associate, Biostatistics, Department of Preventive Medicine, University of Southern California

Abigail HornAbigail Horn received her Ph.D. from the Institute for Data, Systems and Society at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and a Bachelor’s in Physics from the College of Creative Studies at the University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB). Her research focuses on integrating mathematical models with novel data streams to study health disparities in both infectious and chronic diseases, with a particular focus on the diverse populations and environments of Los Angeles County. Her recent work has used novel data streams from human mobility and social media to study food environments and their effect on eating behavior and diet-related health outcomes. Current work also uses novel data streams to inform models of the spread of COVID-19 in Los Angeles, with a focus on policy analysis relating to at-risk groups for both severe infection. Her research has been funded by the NIH, the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, the Bayer Foundation, the German Research Foundation (DFG), and the Santa Fe Institute (SFI).

Beth Jarosz

Senior Research Associate, U.S. Programs, Population Reference Bureau

Beth JaroszBeth Jarosz is a senior research associate in PRB’s United States Programs where she manages projects based in California. Prior to joining PRB, Ms. Jarosz was Senior Demographer at the San Diego Association of Governments and taught sociology at Pensacola State College. She has been both a panelist and steering committee member for National Academies workshops on the American Community Survey, is on the board of the Association of Public Data Users, and is Vice President of the Southern Demographic Association. Her publications include research on inequality, trends in fertility and mortality, and population estimation and forecasting. She has been quoted by numerous national and local news organizations. She completed her master’s degree in Demographic and Social Analysis at the University of California, Irvine.

Dowell Myers, Ph.D.

Professor and Director, Population Dynamics Research Group, University of Southern California

Dowell MyersDowell Myers is a professor of policy, planning, and demography in the Sol Price School of Public Policy at USC. He directs the Population Dynamics Research Group and is a leading expert on California’s changing demographics that lead the nation’s. Dr. Myers has specialized in the demographics of housing demand and needs, with recent studies of “Peak Millennials” and future homeownership. He is also expert in trends of both immigration and children, the two groups who will form our future workforce that will replace retiring baby boomers. Dr. Myers holds his PhD from MIT, a Master of City Planning from UC-Berkeley, and a BA in anthropology from Columbia University. Many of his publications are available at https://sites.usc.edu/popdynamics/.

JungHo Park, Ph.D.

Research Professor, Department of Smart City, Chung-Ang University

JungHo ParkJungHo Park is a research professor at SURE Education Research Group at the Department of Smart City in Chung-Ang University. He also serves as a nonresident research associate at the Population Dynamics Research Group in USC Sol Price School of Public Policy. His research is based in the field of housing demography, focusing on housing affordability, residential mobility, living arrangements, and federally-subsidized housing. His recent research is centered on urban changes and socioeconomic hardships during the COVID-19 pandemic in context of United States and South Korea. He holds his PhD in Urban Planning and Development from USC.

Marisa Prasse

Housing Policy Analyst, Land Use and Planning Unit, California Department of Housing and Community Development

Marisa PrasseMarisa Prasse works within the Land Use and Planning Unit at HCD’s Housing Policy Division. At HCD she specializes in housing elements, fair housing, planning grants, and climate change adaptation. Marisa co-authored HCD’s Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing (AFFH) Guidance Memo and is the team lead on the accompanying AFFH Data Viewer mapping tool. She received her Master’s in City Planning from MIT in 2020 and has previously worked at the Chicago Metropolitan Agency for Planning and the Boston Housing Authority.

Fennis Reed

Research Specialist II, Demographic Research Unit, California Department of Finance

Fennis ReedFennis Reed is a Research Specialist II with the Demographic Research Unit in the California Department of Finance. Their primary interest is small area estimates – providing support for unique stakeholder geographies such as library, fire, and water districts that are otherwise inconsistent with regularly reported administrative boundaries. Fennis got their start in population modeling working with salamanders in western Michigan. Since then, their expertise has been applied to the human realm leading to graduate work with WorldPop, where machine learning and dasymetric techniques are applied to many countries with limited census and supporting data. Their research interests include population modeling, remote sensing, GIS, qualitative geography, and herpetology.

Fennis holds an M.S. in Applied Geography from the University of Louisville. Prior to working with Department of Finance they have held varied positions in private utilities, technology and research as a GIS automation specialist.

Walter Schwarm, Ph.D.

Chief, Demographic Research Unit, California Department of Finance

Walter SchwarmWalter Schwarm joined the Demographic Research Unit of the California Department of Finance in 2006 as an Analyst in the city projections assignment. He moved to the State Data Center assignment as a Research Program Specialist in January 2009. From 2003-2006 he was the Post-Doctoral Research Fellow at the Regional Research Institute at West Virginia University, involved in a variety of public and privately funded research projects while maintaining the West Virginia population projections. He earned his Ph.D. in Economics from Colorado State University in 2002. Mr. Schwarm research involved modeling small region fiscal interactions and revenue sharing issues, and he has published a number of papers in academic journals as well as several book chapters.

Neeraj Sood, Ph.D.

Professor and Vice Dean for Research, USC Sol Price School of Public Policy, A founding member of the USC Schaeffer Center, University of Southern California

Neeraj SoodNeeraj Sood, Ph.D., is professor and vice dean for research at the USC Price School of Public Policy and a founding member the USC Schaeffer Center. His research focuses on economic epidemiology, infectious diseases, pharmaceutical markets, health insurance, economics of innovation, Medicare, and global health. He is currently leading a study on COVID-19 in collaboration with Los Angeles County Department of Public Health. He has published over 100 papers in peer-reviewed journals in economics, medicine, and policy, including JAMA, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Journal of Health Economics, Health Affairs, Journal of Policy Analysis and Management and Health Services Research. He has testified frequently on health policy issues and has been on expert committees for the National Academies of Science, Engineering and Medicine. He has received more than $10 million in funding as principal investigator in grants from the National Institutes for Health (NIH), National Science Foundation (NSF) and other prominent funders. His work has been featured in media outlets, including The New York Times, Washington Post, U.S. News and World Report and Scientific American. Sood was the finalist for the 16th and 21st annual National Institute for Health Care Management Health Care Research Award, recognizing outstanding research in health policy. He was also the 2009 recipient of the Eugene Garfield Economic Impact Prize, recognizing outstanding research demonstrating how medical research impacts the economy.

Sood is on the editorial boards of the Journal of Health Economics, Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, and Health Services Research. He is a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research and a board member of the American Society of Health Economists. Prior to joining USC, he was a senior economist at RAND and a professor at the Pardee RAND Graduate School.

Jennifer B. Unger, Ph.D.

Research Associate, Biostatistics, Department of Preventive Medicine, University of Southern California

Jennifer UngerJennifer B. Unger, Ph.D. is a Professor of Preventive Medicine at the University of Southern California Keck School of Medicine. Her research focuses on the psychological, social, and cultural influences on health-risk and health-protective behaviors among diverse populations. She currently serves as an Associate Director of the USC Coronavirus Pandemic Research Center (CPRC) and co-leads studies of rapid antigen testing in schools and vaccine hesitancy among college students. She and her colleagues have conducted longitudinal studies of acculturation, cultural stress, and substance use among Hispanic adolescents, highlighting the role of discrimination in health-risk behaviors. Her research also has examined cultural influences on tobacco use among American Indian adolescents, Chinese adolescents, and African American adults and neighborhood influences on adolescent cannabis use. She has collaborated on the design and evaluation of fotonovelas and telenovelas about secondhand smoke exposure in multiunit housing; diabetes; asthma; immunization; and kidney transplantation. She is a Project Leader in the USC Tobacco Center of Regulatory Science (TCORS), where she studies diffusion of messages about emerging tobacco products to vulnerable populations through social media and leads the Population Core, which conducts annual surveys of three longitudinal cohorts of adolescents and young adults. She is a Program Leader of the Cancer Control program at the USC Norris Comprehensive Cancer Center and Director of the Ph.D. program in Preventive Medicine / Health Behavior Research. She teaches predoctoral courses in research methods and grantwriting.